Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.193938 0.225618 0.260910 0.303157 0.352383 0.407965 0.475542
2025-02-16 0.143825 0.185669 0.237388 0.306094 0.395131 0.506839 0.658013
2025-02-23 0.115495 0.160136 0.219391 0.303972 0.421945 0.581181 0.813361
2025-03-02 0.094328 0.138566 0.200779 0.294919 0.434319 0.634029 0.943539
2025-03-09 0.083448 0.128890 0.196088 0.303070 0.469976 0.721872 1.133694
2025-03-16 0.073240 0.118278 0.187918 0.303923 0.493534 0.793323 1.307477
2025-03-23 0.066032 0.111062 0.183585 0.309500 0.524277 0.878654 1.513760
2025-03-30 0.057963 0.101186 0.173446 0.303763 0.534927 0.931607 1.671929
2025-04-06 0.051717 0.093477 0.165768 0.300862 0.549467 0.992072 1.850186
2025-04-13 0.046928 0.087650 0.160500 0.301295 0.569551 1.064090 2.058184
2025-04-20 0.044586 0.085939 0.162297 0.314725 0.615030 1.187588 2.379405
2025-04-27 0.042140 0.083691 0.162753 0.325515 0.656566 1.308303 2.710919
2025-05-04 0.039465 0.080757 0.161724 0.333629 0.694634 1.428578 3.061932
2025-05-11 0.036475 0.076830 0.158300 0.336521 0.722584 1.532393 3.394302
2025-05-18 0.033325 0.072159 0.152761 0.334188 0.739016 1.613939 3.689323
2025-05-25 0.029867 0.066388 0.144214 0.324219 0.737373 1.656098 3.901301
2025-06-01 0.028367 0.064717 0.144236 0.333195 0.779267 1.799760 4.368948
2025-06-08 0.026385 0.061707 0.140936 0.334134 0.802643 1.903997 4.756931
2025-06-15 0.024965 0.059819 0.139931 0.340276 0.839063 2.043215 5.250810
2025-06-22 0.022850 0.056024 0.134062 0.333957 0.844223 2.107663 5.563941
2025-06-29 0.021139 0.053006 0.129685 0.330763 0.856769 2.191884 5.940825
2025-07-06 0.019798 0.050750 0.126898 0.331240 0.878792 2.302903 6.405817
2025-07-13 0.019335 0.050672 0.129509 0.346029 0.940443 2.524910 7.209740